Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.002819 0.003025 0.003247 0.003507 0.003806 0.004141 0.004549
2024-10-13 0.002492 0.002763 0.003073 0.003463 0.003947 0.004542 0.005351
2024-10-20 0.002213 0.002506 0.002856 0.003315 0.003920 0.004718 0.005907
2024-10-27 0.002063 0.002379 0.002770 0.003306 0.004051 0.005106 0.006843
2024-11-03 0.001859 0.002163 0.002547 0.003084 0.003854 0.004989 0.006972
2024-11-10 0.001789 0.002110 0.002525 0.003126 0.004028 0.005446 0.008190
2024-11-17 0.001739 0.002077 0.002524 0.003194 0.004246 0.006017 0.009869
2024-11-24 0.001665 0.002005 0.002464 0.003166 0.004306 0.006328 0.011165
2024-12-01 0.001633 0.001988 0.002476 0.003246 0.004552 0.007038 0.013916
2024-12-08 0.001577 0.001934 0.002431 0.003230 0.004630 0.007437 0.016171
2024-12-15 0.001515 0.001866 0.002361 0.003169 0.004617 0.007637 0.017989
2024-12-22 0.001492 0.001854 0.002372 0.003239 0.004855 0.008482 0.023639
2024-12-29 0.001467 0.001840 0.002383 0.003318 0.005144 0.009626 0.034751
2025-01-05 0.001418 0.001787 0.002333 0.003287 0.005206 0.010209 0.045874
2025-01-12 0.001349 0.001704 0.002230 0.003156 0.005036 0.010044 0.049474
2025-01-19 0.001313 0.001667 0.002198 0.003149 0.005137 0.010793 0.074270
2025-01-26 0.001237 0.001569 0.002064 0.002945 0.004772 0.009862 0.060432
2025-02-02 0.001218 0.001554 0.002061 0.002984 0.004965 0.010953 0.115886
2025-02-09 0.001205 0.001547 0.002072 0.003047 0.005229 0.012506 0.548224
2025-02-16 0.001175 0.001514 0.002037 0.003021 0.005270 0.013200 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001166 0.001512 0.002053 0.003094 0.005580 0.015445 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001141 0.001485 0.002027 0.003080 0.005655 0.016596 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001110 0.001447 0.001981 0.003024 0.005606 0.016996 NaN